2 Aug · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1592
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Louda
MB
🇨🇿Martin Bittner
ELO 1569
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bittner🌟Bittner covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Louda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H9-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.