2 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1576
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zidek
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1549
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Simecek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (52)
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 32% · 3.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.