2 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1530
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Petrek
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Petrek
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Petrek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.