2 Aug · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1549
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Simecek
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1530
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heczko🌟Simecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (83)
Fair odds · Simecek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.