2 Aug · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1481
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tuma
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Sobisek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (131)
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+82
H2H48-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.