2 Aug · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1509
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Heczko
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1530
FormWWWLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Byrtus🌟Heczko goes over total as favourite 67% (58)
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.