2 Aug · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vinter
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1481
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Sobisek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (131)
Fair odds · Vinter
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+95
H2H10-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)