2 Aug · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1352
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.921964
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1381
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🌟1964 rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (101)
Fair odds · 1964
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H12-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.