2 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Petrek
ELO 1557
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Petrek
MB
🇨🇿Marek Bereiter
ELO 1537
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Bereiter covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Petrek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.