2 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Budinsky
ELO 1559
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Budinsky
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hradecky
ELO 1555
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Budinsky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.