2 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JF
🇨🇿Jiri Foltynek
ELO 1366
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Luksa
ZL
🇨🇿Zdenek Luksa
ELO 1433
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Luksa
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.