2 Aug · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1530
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Budinsky
PB
🇨🇿Petr Budinsky
ELO 1552
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Zmuda covers set handicap as underdog 68% (38)
Fair odds · Budinsky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.