2 Aug · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1566
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sychra
MB
🇨🇿Martin Bittner
ELO 1556
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bittner
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.