2 Aug · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Martin Bittner
ELO 1556
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Svacha
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Svacha
ELO 1590
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bittner🌟Svacha rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (76)
Fair odds · Svacha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.