2 Aug · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1579
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tuma
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1529
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H3-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.