2 Aug · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1581
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Simecek
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1551
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skacelik🌟Skacelik covers set handicap as underdog 69% (85)
Fair odds · Simecek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H8-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.