02 Aug · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1577
3-0Final setsBayer won
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1566
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Vinter at 51%. The actual result was Ales Bayer 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Tomas Vinter favoured — closing 1.45
Total 74.5
52 points played
Set handicap
Tomas Vinter −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Tomas Vinter −5.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 3
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ales Bayer is favoured to win, below means Tomas Vinter.
▲ Ales Bayerpre 53% → final 99%
Tomas Vinter ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts50 points · 3 games