3 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1584
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Simecek
FL
🇨🇿Frantisek Laburda
ELO 1545
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Laburda🌟Simecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (85)
Fair odds · Simecek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.