4 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1485
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Unzeitig
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1518
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Unzeitig rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (47)
Fair odds · Unzeitig
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H9-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.