4 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1453
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gebek
EG
🇨🇿Evald Gebek
ELO 1533
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Zurek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (131)
Fair odds · Gebek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+80
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.