4 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
EG
🇨🇿Evald Gebek
ELO 1533
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gebek
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tobola
ELO 1512
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Gebek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.