4 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sudek
ELO 1381
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sudek
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1351
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sudek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.