4 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1376
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sudek
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sudek
ELO 1381
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Forman stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Sudek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.