4 Aug · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1558
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sychra
KS
🇨🇿Karel Schopf
ELO 1556
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Schopf🌟Schopf covers set handicap as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H9-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.