4 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sudek
ELO 1381
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sudek
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1358
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Sudek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.