4 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Bresky
ELO 1508
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plachy
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1539
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H19-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.