4 Aug · 04:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1495
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Janata
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Janata
ELO 1582
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sobisek🌟Sobisek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (139)
Fair odds · Janata
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+87
H2H2-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)