4 Aug · 01:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Janata
ELO 1582
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Janata
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hradecky
ELO 1554
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Janata
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H1-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.