4 Aug · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1458
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stach
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hrabec
ELO 1443
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Stach
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.