5 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1473
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Blejchar
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1504
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Stach covers set handicap as underdog 64% (45)
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H11-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.