5 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1745
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mares
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jindrak
ELO 1738
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jindrak🌟Mares rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (148)
Fair odds · Mares
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H20-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.