5 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1616
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Klement
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1585
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Bayer covers set handicap as underdog 65% (199)
Fair odds · Klement
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H14-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.