5 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1607
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sebera
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1556
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H15-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.