5 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jindrak
ELO 1738
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jindrak
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Postelt
ELO 1660
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Postelt covers set handicap as underdog 70% (87)
Fair odds · Jindrak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+78
H2H18-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.