5 Aug · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1484
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zientek
MK
🇨🇿Matyas Kolek
ELO 1468
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Zientek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (62)
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H11-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.