5 Aug · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1682
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sedlacek
MS
🇨🇿Michael Sedlacek
ELO 1720
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cabis🌟Sedlacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (108)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.