5 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Miloslav Hubka
ELO 1402
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hubka
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1379
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Hubka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.