5 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Miloslav Hubka
ELO 1402
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hubka
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1337
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Vrba stays under total as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Hubka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+65
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.