5 Aug · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1377
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kosar
VK
🇨🇿Vaclav Kosar
ELO 1452
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kosar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.