5 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1337
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stach
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1379
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Vrba stays under total as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Stach
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.