5 Aug · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1565
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kolar
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kolar
ELO 1642
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zahradka
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.