5 Aug · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1596
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vedmoch
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1464
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+132
H2H21-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-18)