5 Aug · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1610
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zidek
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1535
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H18-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.