6 Aug · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1607
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sebera
MR
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1562
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H33-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.