5 Aug · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇨🇿Lubos Krticka
ELO 1526
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1596
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.