5 Aug · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1610
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zidek
VA
🇨🇿Vladimir Adamczyk
ELO 1542
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Adamczyk covers set handicap as underdog 64% (39)
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.