6 Aug · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1598
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Urbaniec
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1565
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.