5 Aug · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zidek
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1610
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+90
H2H37-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-21)