6 Aug · 01:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1592
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pikous
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1604
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Louda covers set handicap as underdog 63% (97)
Fair odds · Pikous
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H69-91
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.