5 Aug · 22:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1600
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Simecek
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1496
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
🌟Simecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (92)
Fair odds · Simecek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+104
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)